:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2025

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
00-03UT 3.00 1.33 2.00
03-06UT 2.67 1.33 1.67
06-09UT 2.33 1.67 2.00
09-12UT 2.33 1.67 2.33
12-15UT 1.67 1.67 2.33
15-18UT 2.00 1.33 2.67
18-21UT 2.33 1.33 3.00
21-00UT 2.33 1.33 4.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Mar 05 2025 1150 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through 08 Mar.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 09 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 09-Mar 11 2025

Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11
00-03UT 3.33 4.00 3.67
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 5.00 (G1) 3.67
06-09UT 3.67 4.00 3.33
09-12UT 3.67 3.33 3.33
12-15UT 3.00 3.00 3.33
15-18UT 2.33 3.00 3.33
18-21UT 3.00 3.67 3.67
21-00UT 3.67 4.00 3.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions are expected on 09-10 Mar due to
influence from a negative polarity coronal hole.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025

Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025

Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 09-11 Mar.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 13-Mar 15 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 13-Mar 15 2025

Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 3.67
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.67
06-09UT 4.00 3.67 2.33
09-12UT 4.33 3.33 2.33
12-15UT 2.67 3.00 2.33
15-18UT 3.33 3.67 2.00
18-21UT 4.33 3.33 2.67
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 2.67

Rationale: Due to the continued southward orientation of the IMF,
G1-Minor storming conditions are expected to continue.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 13-Mar 15 2025

Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 13-Mar 15 2025

Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for M-Class (R1-R2 Minor-Moderate)
flaring 13-15 Mar.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 16 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 16-Mar 18 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 16-Mar 18 2025

Mar 16 Mar 17 Mar 18
00-03UT 1.67 3.67 3.67
03-06UT 2.33 3.00 3.33
06-09UT 3.00 2.67 3.00
09-12UT 3.00 2.00 2.00
12-15UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 3.33 2.33 3.00
18-21UT 3.33 2.67 3.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 3.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 16-Mar 18 2025

Mar 16 Mar 17 Mar 18
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 16-Mar 18 2025

Mar 16 Mar 17 Mar 18
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for M-class flaring (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate)
and a slight chance for X-class flares through 17 Mar.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 19-Mar 21 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 19-Mar 21 2025

Mar 19 Mar 20 Mar 21
00-03UT 3.67 3.00 4.00
03-06UT 3.67 2.67 3.00
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 2.67
09-12UT 1.67 2.00 2.33
12-15UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 2.67 3.33 2.33
21-00UT 2.67 3.67 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 19-Mar 21 2025

Mar 19 Mar 20 Mar 21
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 19-Mar 21 2025

Mar 19 Mar 20 Mar 21
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: A high chance for M-class flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate), and
a slight chance for an isolated X-class flare (R3, Strong), will persist through 21 Mar.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 22-Mar 24 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 22-Mar 24 2025

Mar 22 Mar 23 Mar 24
00-03UT 5.33 (G1) 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 5.33 (G1) 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 4.00 2.67 2.00
09-12UT 2.67 2.67 1.67
12-15UT 2.67 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.00 2.33 2.67
21-00UT 2.33 2.67 2.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected early
on 22 Mar due to lingering CME effects. No significant transient or
recurrent solar wind features are forecast on 23-24 March.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 22-Mar 24 2025

Mar 22 Mar 23 Mar 24
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Mar 21 2025 1558 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 22-Mar 24 2025

Mar 22 Mar 23 Mar 24
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to
M-class flares will persist through 24 Mar.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 25-Mar 27 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 25-Mar 27 2025

Mar 25 Mar 26 Mar 27
00-03UT 3.00 4.67 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.67 3.67
06-09UT 2.67 3.33 3.33
09-12UT 3.00 3.33 2.67
12-15UT 3.67 2.67 2.33
15-18UT 5.00 (G1) 2.67 2.33
18-21UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 2.67
21-00UT 5.67 (G2) 3.67 3.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 25-Mar 27 2025

Mar 25 Mar 26 Mar 27
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 25-Mar 27 2025

Mar 25 Mar 26 Mar 27
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 28-Mar 30 2025

Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30
00-03UT 3.67 3.33 3.00
03-06UT 4.00 2.00 2.67
06-09UT 4.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 3.67 3.33 1.33
18-21UT 4.00 3.33 1.33
21-00UT 4.00 3.33 2.33

Rationale: The geomagnetic field is expected to observe periods of G1
(Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 28 Mar due to CH HSS influence.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025

Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Mar 27 2025 0037 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025

Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 28-30 Mar.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 31 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 31-Apr 02 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 31-Apr 02 2025

Mar 31 Apr 01 Apr 02
00-03UT 2.33 2.33 2.67
03-06UT 2.00 3.00 2.67
06-09UT 2.00 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 2.00 2.33 2.00
12-15UT 2.00 2.00 1.67
15-18UT 2.00 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 2.33 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 2.67 2.00 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 31-Apr 02 2025

Mar 31 Apr 01 Apr 02
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Mar 30 2025 1642 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 31-Apr 02 2025

Mar 31 Apr 01 Apr 02
R1-R2 55% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely on 31 Mar,
with a chance for up to R2 events persists through 02 Apr. A slight
chance for R3 (Strong) events exists for 31 Mar - 02 Apr.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 03-Apr 05 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 03-Apr 05 2025

Apr 03 Apr 04 Apr 05
00-03UT 3.67 1.00 5.00 (G1)
03-06UT 3.33 1.00 4.00
06-09UT 3.00 2.33 3.67
09-12UT 2.33 3.67 3.33
12-15UT 2.00 3.33 2.33
15-18UT 1.33 3.33 2.33
18-21UT 2.00 3.67 2.67
21-00UT 2.33 5.00 (G1) 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 04-05 Apr due to anticipated recurrent coronal hole activity.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
above S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 03-Apr 05 2025

Apr 03 Apr 04 Apr 05
S1 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation
storms over 03-05 Apr, primarily due to the flare potential from Region
4048.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 03-Apr 05 2025

Apr 03 Apr 04 Apr 05
R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely over 03-05
Apr, primarily due to the flare potential from Region 4048.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 06-Apr 08 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 06-Apr 08 2025

Apr 06 Apr 07 Apr 08
00-03UT 5.67 (G2) 2.33 3.33
03-06UT 4.00 2.67 3.67
06-09UT 3.33 2.00 3.00
09-12UT 3.00 2.00 2.67
12-15UT 2.33 2.33 2.33
15-18UT 2.33 3.00 2.33
18-21UT 2.00 3.33 2.00
21-00UT 1.67 3.67 1.67

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 06
Apr due to continued coronal hole influence.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 06-Apr 08 2025

Apr 06 Apr 07 Apr 08
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 05 2025 2005 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 06-Apr 08 2025

Apr 06 Apr 07 Apr 08
R1-R2 60% 60% 55%
R3 or greater 15% 10% 10%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 06-08 Apr.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 09 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 09-Apr 11 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 09-Apr 11 2025

Apr 09 Apr 10 Apr 11
00-03UT 4.00 3.00 1.67
03-06UT 3.67 3.67 1.67
06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.00
09-12UT 2.33 2.33 3.00
12-15UT 2.00 2.00 4.00
15-18UT 2.00 2.00 3.33
18-21UT 2.67 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.33 3.00 2.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is expected on 09 Apr under
negative polarity CH HSS effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 09-Apr 11 2025

Apr 09 Apr 10 Apr 11
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 08 2025 2222 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 09-Apr 11 2025

Apr 09 Apr 10 Apr 11
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: A chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts will
persist through 11 Apr primarily due to the flare potential observed in
ARs 4048 and 4054.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 12 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 12-Apr 14 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 12-Apr 14 2025

Apr 12 Apr 13 Apr 14
00-03UT 3.67 3.67 3.00
03-06UT 3.67 3.67 3.33
06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.67
09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.67
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
21-00UT 2.33 3.00 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are likely on 12 Apr due
to CH HSS activity.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 12-Apr 14 2025

Apr 12 Apr 13 Apr 14
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 11 2025 1650 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 12-Apr 14 2025

Apr 12 Apr 13 Apr 14
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is an increased chance for M-class flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) on 12-14 Apr due primarily to the flare potential from
Regions 4055 and 4060.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 15 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 15-Apr 17 2025 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 15-Apr 17 2025

Apr 15 Apr 16 Apr 17
00-03UT 3.67 4.00 4.33
03-06UT 3.00 3.00 4.33
06-09UT 3.00 5.00 (G1) 4.00
09-12UT 3.67 4.00 3.67
12-15UT 2.67 6.00 (G2) 4.33
15-18UT 2.00 4.00 3.00
18-21UT 2.00 5.00 (G1) 2.67
21-00UT 3.67 4.33 4.00

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) storming is likely on 16 Apr due to
CME arrival from filament eruptions that left the Sun on 13 Apr.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 15-Apr 17 2025

Apr 15 Apr 16 Apr 17
S1 or greater 10% 10% 5%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (minor) solar radiation
storms on 15-16 Apr.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 14 2025 0650 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 15-Apr 17 2025

Apr 15 Apr 16 Apr 17
R1-R2 80% 75% 60%
R3 or greater 15% 10% 10%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected on 16-17
Apr, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events. Probabilities decrease slightly on 17 Apr.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 18 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 18-Apr 20 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 18-Apr 20 2025

Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20
00-03UT 2.67 2.67 2.33
03-06UT 3.00 2.00 3.00
06-09UT 4.00 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 3.00 2.33 1.67
12-15UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.67 2.33 1.00
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 1.67
21-00UT 2.33 2.33 2.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 18-Apr 20 2025

Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 18-Apr 20 2025

Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: Isolated R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely
through 20 Apr.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 21 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 21-Apr 23 2025 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 21-Apr 23 2025

Apr 21 Apr 22 Apr 23
00-03UT 3.00 3.00 4.00
03-06UT 3.67 2.00 5.67 (G2)
06-09UT 2.00 3.00 4.33
09-12UT 2.00 4.00 4.00
12-15UT 2.00 4.33 4.67 (G1)
15-18UT 2.00 5.00 (G1) 4.33
18-21UT 2.67 5.33 (G1) 3.00
21-00UT 3.67 6.00 (G2) 4.67 (G1)

Rationale: Periods of G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are
likely on 22-23 Apr due to the influences of a positive polarity CH HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 21-Apr 23 2025

Apr 21 Apr 22 Apr 23
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 20 2025 1211 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 21-Apr 23 2025

Apr 21 Apr 22 Apr 23
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 21-23 Apr.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 24 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 24-Apr 26 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 24-Apr 26 2025

Apr 24 Apr 25 Apr 26
00-03UT 4.00 3.67 2.33
03-06UT 3.33 3.00 2.00
06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.33
09-12UT 4.00 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
15-18UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
18-21UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
21-00UT 2.67 2.67 2.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 24-Apr 26 2025

Apr 24 Apr 25 Apr 26
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 24-Apr 26 2025

Apr 24 Apr 25 Apr 26
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1 (Minor) radio blackouts. No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 27 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 27-Apr 29 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 27-Apr 29 2025

Apr 27 Apr 28 Apr 29
00-03UT 3.33 3.00 2.33
03-06UT 2.00 2.00 2.33
06-09UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.33
12-15UT 3.00 2.67 2.33
15-18UT 4.00 2.67 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.67 2.33
21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 27-Apr 29 2025

Apr 27 Apr 28 Apr 29
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 27-Apr 29 2025

Apr 27 Apr 28 Apr 29
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Apr 30 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 30-May 02 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 30-May 02 2025

Apr 30 May 01 May 02
00-03UT 1.67 1.33 3.00
03-06UT 1.33 1.33 3.67
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 2.67
09-12UT 1.33 1.33 2.67
12-15UT 1.33 1.67 1.67
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 2.33
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 30-May 02 2025

Apr 30 May 01 May 02
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 29 2025 0513 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 30-May 02 2025

Apr 30 May 01 May 02
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for
M-class flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate), and a slight chance for X-class
flares (R3-Strong) through 02 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 03-May 05 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 03-May 05 2025

May 03 May 04 May 05
00-03UT 5.00 (G1) 3.67 3.67
03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 3.67 3.67
06-09UT 3.67 2.67 4.00
09-12UT 3.67 2.67 3.67
12-15UT 3.33 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 3.00 2.67 2.67
18-21UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
21-00UT 2.33 3.00 2.67

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) intervals are expected early on 03 May
due to negative polarity CH HSS effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 03-May 05 2025

May 03 May 04 May 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 03-May 05 2025

May 03 May 04 May 05
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 05 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 06-May 08 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 06-May 08 2025

May 06 May 07 May 08
00-03UT 5.00 (G1) 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 4.33 4.00 2.33
06-09UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
09-12UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
12-15UT 2.67 2.67 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.67 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 3.00 2.33 2.67

Rationale: The geomagnetic field is expected to reach G1 (Minor) storm
levels on 06 May, and active levels on 07 May, due to sustained negative polarity CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 06-May 08 2025

May 06 May 07 May 08
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 06-May 08 2025

May 06 May 07 May 08
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for
M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flare activity through 08 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 09 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 09-May 11 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 09-May 11 2025

May 09 May 10 May 11
00-03UT 3.33 3.67 3.00
03-06UT 3.67 3.00 3.67
06-09UT 3.67 2.67 2.67
09-12UT 3.67 2.00 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
15-18UT 4.00 2.00 2.67
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.67
21-00UT 4.00 2.67 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions are likely on 09 May due to the onset
of another negative polarity CH HSS coupled with a possible glancing
blow CME from 05 May.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 09-May 11 2025

May 09 May 10 May 11
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 09-May 11 2025

May 09 May 10 May 11
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 09-11 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 12 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 12-May 14 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 12-May 14 2025

May 12 May 13 May 14
00-03UT 4.00 2.67 2.33
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 3.33 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.33
12-15UT 2.67 1.67 2.67
15-18UT 3.67 1.67 2.33
18-21UT 2.67 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 2.67 2.67 2.00

Rationale: An isolated period of G1 (Minor) conditions are expected on
12 May as negative polarity CH HSS influences linger yet diminish.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 12-May 14 2025

May 12 May 13 May 14
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at May 12 2025 0001 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 12-May 14 2025

May 12 May 13 May 14
R1-R2 1% 1% 1%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 15 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 15-May 17 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 15-May 17 2025

May 15 May 16 May 17
00-03UT 2.33 2.33 3.33
03-06UT 2.33 2.33 2.00
06-09UT 2.67 2.33 2.00
09-12UT 2.67 1.67 3.00
12-15UT 2.00 2.33 3.00
15-18UT 2.67 2.33 3.67
18-21UT 3.67 2.00 3.33
21-00UT 3.00 2.33 3.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 15-May 17 2025

May 15 May 16 May 17
S1 or greater 10% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at May 14 2025 0825 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 15-May 17 2025

May 15 May 16 May 17
R1-R2 75% 75% 75%
R3 or greater 30% 30% 30%

Rationale: Given the magnetic complexity of Region 4087, theres a 75%
chance that M-Class (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) level flare activity will
occur through 17 May with a 30% chance for X-Class (R3-Strong) levels
during the same time.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 18 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 18-May 20 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 18-May 20 2025

May 18 May 19 May 20
00-03UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 3.67 5.00 (G1) 2.67
06-09UT 4.00 4.67 (G1) 3.00
09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 2.67
12-15UT 3.67 3.67 3.00
15-18UT 4.33 4.00 3.33
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 4.00 3.33
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected on 18-19 May due
to influence form a positive polarity CH HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 18-May 20 2025

May 18 May 19 May 20
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 18-May 20 2025

May 18 May 19 May 20
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 18-20 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 8 (NOAA Scale
G4).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025 is 7.67 (NOAA Scale
G4).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
00-03UT 7.00 (G3) 4.33 4.00
03-06UT 7.67 (G4) 5.00 (G1) 4.00
06-09UT 6.67 (G3) 4.67 (G1) 3.33
09-12UT 6.33 (G2) 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.00
15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 3.33
18-21UT 5.33 (G1) 4.00 3.00
21-00UT 4.33 4.00 2.67

Rationale: UP to G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storms are likely on 02 Jun
due to effects from a CME that left the Sun on 31 May. G1-G2
(Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely on 03 Jun due to coronal
hole influence.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
above S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
S1 or greater 99% 75% 60%

Rationale: S1-S2 (Minor-Moderate) solar radiation storms are likely
persist over 02-03 Jun becoming likely on 04 Jun.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 02-04 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 27 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 27-May 29 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 27-May 29 2025

May 27 May 28 May 29
00-03UT 2.00 1.67 4.00
03-06UT 2.67 3.67 4.00
06-09UT 2.67 5.00 (G1) 3.33
09-12UT 1.67 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 1.67 3.67 2.33
15-18UT 1.00 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 1.00 3.33 2.00
21-00UT 2.67 4.00 3.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are likely on 28 May
due to CH HSS onset. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind
features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 27-May 29 2025

May 27 May 28 May 29
S1 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 27-29 May.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at May 26 2025 1306 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 27-May 29 2025

May 27 May 28 May 29
R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
R3 or greater 30% 30% 30%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
chance for isolated R3 (Strong or greater) events over 27-29 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 21 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 21-May 23 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 21-May 23 2025

May 21 May 22 May 23
00-03UT 2.67 2.67 2.00
03-06UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
06-09UT 2.67 2.33 1.67
09-12UT 2.00 2.33 2.67
12-15UT 3.33 2.33 2.67
15-18UT 3.00 2.33 4.00
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 2.67
21-00UT 2.00 2.67 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
Unsettled to active levels are expected through 23 May due to persistent
CH HSS activity.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 21-May 23 2025

May 21 May 22 May 23
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 21-May 23 2025

May 21 May 22 May 23
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: Solar flare activity is expected to remain low as most
regions on the disk are fairly simple in their magnetic complexities.
There remains a 35% chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) and a 5% chance
for R3 (Strong) activity through 23 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 30 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 7 (NOAA Scale
G3).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 30-Jun 01 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 30-Jun 01 2025

May 30 May 31 Jun 01
00-03UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 4.00
03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.33 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 4.00
09-12UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 3.67
12-15UT 3.00 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 3.33 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 3.33 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.67 4.00 3.33

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 30
May due to influence from a negative polarity coronal hole. G1 (Minor) conditions are again likely on 31 May - 01 Jun due to waning coronal
hole effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 30-Jun 01 2025

May 30 May 31 Jun 01
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms over 30 May - 01 Jun.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 30-Jun 01 2025

May 30 May 31 Jun 01
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 30 May - 01 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 3.33
03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 3.67
06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.00
09-12UT 4.00 3.00 2.33
12-15UT 3.33 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 3.00 2.00 3.00
18-21UT 4.00 2.00 3.67
21-00UT 4.00 2.67 4.67 (G1)

Rationale: G1 to G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming is likely on
05 Jun due to waning CME and CH HSS influences. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storming is likely again on 07 Jun due to CME influences from the 04 Jun filament eruption.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: A slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms will
persist through 07 Jun given the flare potential and history of AR 4100
in particular.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 04 2025 2328 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: A chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a
slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 07
Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 24 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 24-May 26 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 24-May 26 2025

May 24 May 25 May 26
00-03UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
03-06UT 2.67 2.33 2.33
06-09UT 3.00 3.00 3.00
09-12UT 3.67 3.67 3.67
12-15UT 3.00 3.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.33 2.33
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 2.33
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 24-May 26 2025

May 24 May 25 May 26
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 24-May 26 2025

May 24 May 25 May 26
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 24-26 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 4.00 3.67
03-06UT 4.00 4.00 3.00
06-09UT 3.33 5.00 (G1) 2.67
09-12UT 3.67 3.67 2.33
12-15UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 2.33 2.33
18-21UT 3.00 2.67 2.33
21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 08-09 Jun due to transient influence.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
R1-R2 30% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: A chance exists for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 08-10 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 11 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
00-03UT 2.33 2.33 3.67
03-06UT 3.00 2.67 3.33
06-09UT 2.67 1.67 3.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.33 2.00 2.67
15-18UT 1.00 2.00 2.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 3.00
21-00UT 4.00 2.67 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
all three days.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

Keeping my fingers crossed the band will be in better shape for ARRL Field Day!

Rug Rat (Brent Hendricks)
Blog and Forums - www.catracing.org
IMAGE BBS! 3.0 - bbs.catracing.org 6400
C-Net Amiga BBS - bbs.catracing.org 6840
--- CNet/5
* Origin: The Rat's Den BBS (1:135/250)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 14 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1)
03-06UT 5.33 (G1) 4.33 4.00
06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 3.67 3.33
09-12UT 4.33 3.33 3.00
12-15UT 3.33 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.33
18-21UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 6.00 (G2) 4.00 3.00

Rationale: Periods of G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are
expected on 14 Jun due to CME and CH HSS influences. Periods of G1
(Minor) storming are likely on 15-16 Jun due to CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 13 2025 2110 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 14-16 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 17 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
00-03UT 3.00 3.33 3.33
03-06UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
06-09UT 2.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 2.67 2.33 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 1.67 3.33 3.33
18-21UT 0.67 4.00 3.33
21-00UT 1.00 4.33 3.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
S1 or greater 30% 15% 5%

Rationale: There is a decreasing chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over the next three days.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 16 2025 0938 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
R1-R2 75% 75% 70%
R3 or greater 30% 30% 30%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 17-19 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 20 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
00-03UT 2.33 2.67 1.67
03-06UT 4.33 2.00 1.33
06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 4.33 2.33 1.33
12-15UT 3.33 2.33 1.67
15-18UT 3.33 2.33 1.33
18-21UT 2.33 2.33 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.67 1.33

Rationale: An isolated period of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are
likely on 20 Jun due to positive polarity CH HSS influences and possible influences from a CME that left the Sun on 17 Jun.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation
storms over 20-22 Jun.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 19 2025 2350 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 20-22 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 23 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
00-03UT 2.67 3.00 4.67 (G1)
03-06UT 2.00 3.67 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 2.00 2.00 4.00
09-12UT 2.67 2.67 4.00
12-15UT 3.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
15-18UT 2.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
18-21UT 2.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
21-00UT 3.00 2.00 4.00

Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 25 Jun
due to the onset of negative polarity CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation
storms over 23-25 Jun due to eruptive potential from multiple regions on
the visible disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
and a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 23-25 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 26 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
00-03UT 5.33 (G1) 4.00 3.67
03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.33
06-09UT 4.00 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 3.67 3.33 2.67
12-15UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
15-18UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
18-21UT 4.00 2.67 2.67
21-00UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely, with a chance for
an insolated G2 (Moderate) storming period, on 26-27 June due to
negative polarity CH HSS effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
R1-R2 30% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a
slight chance for X-class flares (R3-Strong), will persist through 28
June.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 29 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.33
03-06UT 2.33 1.67 1.67
06-09UT 2.33 1.67 1.33
09-12UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 1.67
15-18UT 1.67 1.33 1.67
18-21UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
21-00UT 2.00 1.33 1.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through the period.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jul 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
00-03UT 4.33 4.67 (G1) 2.67
03-06UT 5.33 (G1) 4.33 4.00
06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 3.00
09-12UT 4.00 2.67 2.67
12-15UT 3.00 2.33 1.67
15-18UT 3.00 2.67 1.67
18-21UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are likely on 02-03 Jul
due to the arrival of the 28 Jun CME.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
S1 or greater 5% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
R1-R2 20% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 5% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
due to isolated M-class flare activity will persist through 04 July.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jul 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
00-03UT 3.00 2.33 3.00
03-06UT 2.67 2.67 3.00
06-09UT 2.33 2.67 2.00
09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
12-15UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 1.00 1.00
18-21UT 2.33 2.00 0.67
21-00UT 2.67 2.33 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 05-07 Jul.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jul 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 08-Jul 10 2025

Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10
00-03UT 3.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 3.67 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 2.67 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 3.00 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 2.67 1.33 1.67
15-18UT 2.67 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 1.67
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 1.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025

Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025

Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1 (Minor) or greater radio
blackouts all three days.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jul 11 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 11-Jul 13 2025

Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13
00-03UT 1.67 2.33 2.33
03-06UT 1.67 2.00 2.00
06-09UT 1.33 2.33 2.33
09-12UT 1.33 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 1.33 2.33 2.00
15-18UT 1.33 2.67 2.00
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 1.33 2.33 2.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025

Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025

Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for
M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) on 11-13 Jul, primarily due to the
flare potential of Region 4136.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Oct 29 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 29-Oct 31 2025

Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31
00-03UT 4.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 4.00 3.67
06-09UT 4.33 4.00 3.33
09-12UT 3.67 3.67 3.00
12-15UT 3.00 3.67 3.00
15-18UT 4.00 4.00 3.33
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 3.00
21-00UT 4.00 3.33 3.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions, with a chance for G2 (Moderate)
levels, are likely on 29-30 Oct due to the anticipated onset of a CH
HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025

Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025

Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31
R1-R2 5% 5% 5%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Oct 23 0034 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 23-Oct 25 2025 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 23-Oct 25 2025

Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25
00-03UT 2.00 1.67 2.67
03-06UT 1.67 1.33 2.67
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
09-12UT 1.00 1.33 2.33
12-15UT 1.00 1.33 2.33
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 2.00
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 23-Oct 25 2025

Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25
S1 or greater 10% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm
levels to be reached on 23 Oct associated with far-sided events. Chances diminish by 24-25 Oct.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 23-Oct 25 2025

Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)
radio blackouts through 25 Oct.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Oct 26 0034 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 26-Oct 28 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 26-Oct 28 2025

Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28
00-03UT 2.00 2.00 4.00
03-06UT 1.67 2.00 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 1.67 2.67 4.00
09-12UT 2.00 3.67 4.00
12-15UT 2.00 3.00 4.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.67 5.00 (G1)
18-21UT 2.67 2.67 4.33
21-00UT 2.33 2.67 5.00 (G1)

Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions, with a chance for G2 (Moderate), are
likely on 28 Oct due to the anticipated onset of influence from a
positive polarity coronal hole.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 26-Oct 28 2025

Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 26-Oct 28 2025

Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts continues over 26-28 Oct.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 01-Nov 03 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 01-Nov 03 2025

Nov 01 Nov 02 Nov 03
00-03UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
03-06UT 3.33 4.00 3.67
06-09UT 3.33 3.33 3.00
09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.67
12-15UT 3.67 2.33 2.33
15-18UT 2.67 2.00 2.33
18-21UT 2.67 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.33 3.33 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 01-Nov 03 2025

Nov 01 Nov 02 Nov 03
S1 or greater 1% 5% 10%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 01-Nov 03 2025

Nov 01 Nov 02 Nov 03
R1-R2 25% 35% 45%
R3 or greater 5% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is an increasing chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)
radio blackouts all three days. A slight chance exists for R3 (Major) or greater blackouts on 02-03 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 04 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 04-Nov 06 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 04-Nov 06 2025

Nov 04 Nov 05 Nov 06
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 2.33
03-06UT 2.67 1.33 3.00
06-09UT 2.33 1.33 3.00
09-12UT 2.33 1.33 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 1.33 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 1.33 3.33
18-21UT 2.00 1.67 3.33
21-00UT 2.33 1.67 4.67 (G1)

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 06 Nov due to
CME/HSS arrival.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 04-Nov 06 2025

Nov 04 Nov 05 Nov 06
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Nov 03 2025 1011 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 04-Nov 06 2025

Nov 04 Nov 05 Nov 06
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for an isolated (R3-Strong) event through 06 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 10-Nov 12 2025

Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12
00-03UT 2.67 2.67 5.67 (G2)
03-06UT 3.00 3.00 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 3.67 2.67 4.00
09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.67
12-15UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 2.67
15-18UT 2.67 5.00 (G1) 2.67
18-21UT 1.67 5.67 (G2) 1.67
21-00UT 2.67 5.67 (G2) 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely over 10 Nov due to potential influence from a CME that left the Sun on 07 Nov. G2
(Moderate) conditions are possible on 11-12 Nov due to anticipated
influence from a CME that left the Sun on 09 Nov.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025

Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12
S1 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation
storms over 10-12 Nov due to multiple complex regions the visible solar
disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Nov 09 2025 0735 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025

Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12
R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
R3 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
chance for R3 (Strong), over 10-12 Nov due to multiple complex active
regions.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 16 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 16-Nov 18 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 16-Nov 18 2025

Nov 16 Nov 17 Nov 18
00-03UT 3.67 3.67 3.00
03-06UT 1.67 4.67 (G1) 3.67
06-09UT 1.33 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 1.33 3.67 2.67
12-15UT 2.00 3.33 2.33
15-18UT 2.00 3.33 2.33
18-21UT 3.33 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely over 16-17 Nov due
to the anticipated influence of a negative polarity coronal hole.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 16-Nov 18 2025

Nov 16 Nov 17 Nov 18
S1 or greater 15% 10% 5%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over 16-17 Nov due to the eruptive potential from
Region 4274.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 16-Nov 18 2025

Nov 16 Nov 17 Nov 18
R1-R2 60% 55% 40%
R3 or greater 20% 15% 5%

Rationale: R1 (Minor) radio blackouts are likely, with a chance for R3 (Strong), over 16-17 Nov due to the flare potential from Region 4274. By
18 Nov, there is a chance for R1 (Minor) radio blackouts due to the
flare potential from Region 4274.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.3 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 9 (NOAA Scale
G5).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 13-Nov 15 2025 is 8.33 (NOAA Scale
G4).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 13-Nov 15 2025

Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15
00-03UT 8.00 (G4) 4.67 (G1) 2.33
03-06UT 8.33 (G4) 4.00 3.00
06-09UT 7.33 (G3) 3.33 2.33
09-12UT 5.00 (G1) 3.67 2.00
12-15UT 4.33 3.33 1.33
15-18UT 4.00 3.00 1.33
18-21UT 4.33 3.00 2.00
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 2.33

Rationale: G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming remains likely, primarily
during the early hours of the 13 Nov UTC-day, due to ongoing CME
effects. Primarily G1 (Minor) to G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storming is
likely thereafter, carrying on into the early hours of the 14 Nov
UTC-day as CME effects gradually wane.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
above S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 13-Nov 15 2025

Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15
S1 or greater 99% 75% 45%

Rationale: S1 (Minor) to S2 (Moderate) solar radiation storms are
expected to continue through 13 Nov before decreasing to the lower ends
of the S1 (Minor) threshold over the course of 14 Nov as CME influences
pass beyond the near-Earth environment.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 13-Nov 15 2025

Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15
R1-R2 85% 85% 85%
R3 or greater 55% 55% 55%

Rationale: R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radioblackouts are expected through 15
Nov and are likely to be accompanied by isolated R3 (Strong) events as
AR 4274 makes it approach towards the western limb of the solar disk.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.3 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 07 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 7 (NOAA Scale
G3).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025 is 7.33 (NOAA Scale
G3).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 07-Nov 09 2025

Nov 07 Nov 08 Nov 09
00-03UT 7.33 (G3) 4.67 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 6.00 (G2) 4.67 (G1) 3.67
06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 7.33 (G3) 3.67 3.00
12-15UT 6.33 (G2) 3.33 3.00
15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 4.00 3.00
18-21UT 3.67 5.67 (G2) 3.33
21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33

Rationale: G1-G3 (Minor-Strong) geomagnetic storms are likely on 07 Nov,
and G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) on 08 Nov, due to the effects of a coronal
hole combined with multiple CMEs.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025

Nov 07 Nov 08 Nov 09
S1 or greater 20% 20% 20%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over 07-09 Nov due primarily to the eruptive potential
of Region 4274.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Nov 06 2025 0431 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025

Nov 07 Nov 08 Nov 09
R1-R2 80% 80% 80%
R3 or greater 35% 35% 35%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
chance for R3 (Strong), due primarily to the flare potential of Region
4274.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 19-Nov 21 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 19-Nov 21 2025

Nov 19 Nov 20 Nov 21
00-03UT 1.67 1.67 2.00
03-06UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 1.33 1.33 2.00
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 3.00
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 3.33
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 4.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 19-Nov 21 2025

Nov 19 Nov 20 Nov 21
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 19-Nov 21 2025

Nov 19 Nov 20 Nov 21
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due
to isolated M-class flare activity will persit through 21 Nov due to the
flare potential presented by AR 4284.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.3 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 22-Nov 24 2025 is 3.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 22-Nov 24 2025

Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24
00-03UT 3.33 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 2.33 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 1.67 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 1.33 1.67 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 22-Nov 24 2025

Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 22-Nov 24 2025

Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 22-24 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.4 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 25-Nov 27 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 25-Nov 27 2025

Nov 25 Nov 26 Nov 27
00-03UT 4.00 3.67 4.00
03-06UT 3.67 5.00 (G1) 4.00
06-09UT 4.33 3.67 4.00
09-12UT 3.67 2.67 3.67
12-15UT 3.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67
15-18UT 3.33 3.67 3.67
18-21UT 4.00 3.00 3.67
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 4.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 25-26 Nov due to
CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 25-Nov 27 2025

Nov 25 Nov 26 Nov 27
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 25-Nov 27 2025

Nov 25 Nov 26 Nov 27
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts on 25-27 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.4 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 28-Nov 30 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 28-Nov 30 2025

Nov 28 Nov 29 Nov 30
00-03UT 4.00 2.67 2.67
03-06UT 3.67 2.33 2.67
06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.33 2.67 2.00
15-18UT 3.33 2.67 1.67
18-21UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
21-00UT 3.67 2.67 2.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is expected early on 28 Nov
due to persistent CH HSS effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 28-Nov 30 2025

Nov 28 Nov 29 Nov 30
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 28-Nov 30 2025

Nov 28 Nov 29 Nov 30
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
will persist through 30 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.5 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Dec 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 01-Dec 03 2025

Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03
00-03UT 3.00 1.33 3.00
03-06UT 2.33 1.33 3.67
06-09UT 3.00 1.67 3.00
09-12UT 2.00 1.33 3.00
12-15UT 1.67 1.33 2.00
15-18UT 1.00 1.33 2.67
18-21UT 1.00 1.67 3.00
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 3.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025

Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels through 03 Dec, due primarily to the
eruptive potential of Region 4294.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025

Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03
R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
R3 or greater 20% 20% 20%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, on 01-03 Dec.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

Mortar M. wrote to Sean Dennis <=-

That's pretty much a staple in the tech support field. In such a case,
I just said, "tap the Space bar". Made life much easier.

My favorite story was about the elderly man who became wealthy sauddenly because oil was found on his land and he bougfht a new Packard Bell PVC but
was using the CD-rom drive tray as a beer holder.

Not all the calls were simple. There were a lot of calls concerning driver issues with Windows 95 and Windows 98. But I enjoyed the job and learned much from it as it would lay the foundation for my system and network adminstration jobs later on.

-- Sean

... "Knowledge is power." - Sir Francis Bacon

--- MultiMail/Linux
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

On Wed 24-Jun-2026 6:08p, Sean Dennis@1:18/200.0 said to Rug Rat:

Rug Rat wrote to Ed Vance <=-

Is that next to the ANY key?

the
any
key."

I have many funny stories from that job...

Yeah, I had the unfortunate experience of being with a loved one who had to call emergency services out of state to take care of a situation and they were so distraught when they called directory assistance they litterally asked, "I NEED THE NUMBER TO 911", I calmly asked for the phone to facilitate getting the correct information."

The brain does some not so amazing things when one is stressed.

Rug Rat (Brent Hendricks)
Blog and Forums - www.catracing.org
IMAGE BBS! 3.0 - bbs.catracing.org 6400
C-Net Amiga BBS - bbs.catracing.org 6840
Ham's Over IP - 104196
--- CNet/5
* Origin: The Rat's Den BBS (1:135/250)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jun 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 25-Jun 27 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 25-Jun 27 2026

Jun 25 Jun 26 Jun 27
00-03UT 3.67 3.33 3.00
03-06UT 4.00 3.67 3.67
06-09UT 2.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 2.67 1.67 2.67
12-15UT 1.67 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 1.67 3.67 2.00
18-21UT 2.67 3.33 2.67
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 3.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
Periods of active conditions are likely 25-27 Jun in response to -CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 25-Jun 27 2026

Jun 25 Jun 26 Jun 27
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 25-Jun 27 2026

Jun 25 Jun 26 Jun 27
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a high chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts 54-27 Jun due primarily to the flare potential of Region 4478.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

Re: Re: 3 Day Space Weather Forecast
By: Sean Dennis to Rug Rat on Wed Jun 24 2026 18:08:34

I once was helping a customer and told hem to press any key to continue.
A pregnant pause followed. The customer said sheepishly, "I can't find the any key."

That's pretty much a staple in the tech support field. In such a case, I just said, "tap the Space bar". Made life much easier.
--- SBBSecho 3.37-Linux
* Origin: End Of The Line BBS - endofthelinebbs.com (1:124/5016)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jun 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 28-Jun 30 2026

Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
00-03UT 3.00 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 3.67 1.33 3.00
06-09UT 3.67 1.33 4.00
09-12UT 3.00 1.33 4.33
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 4.33
15-18UT 1.67 1.33 3.67
18-21UT 2.67 1.67 3.33
21-00UT 2.67 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026

Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026

Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: A high chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due
to M-class flare activity will presist through 30 Jun primarily due to
the flare potential presently observed in Regions 4475 and 4478.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 09 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 09-Aug 11 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 09-Aug 11 2026

Aug 09 Aug 10 Aug 11
00-03UT 3.33 2.33 2.67
03-06UT 3.67 2.67 3.00
06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 3.00
21-00UT 3.33 2.33 3.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 09-Aug 11 2026

Aug 09 Aug 10 Aug 11
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 09-Aug 11 2026

Aug 09 Aug 10 Aug 11
R1-R2 5% 5% 5%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 31 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 31-Aug 02 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 31-Aug 02 2026

Jul 31 Aug 01 Aug 02
00-03UT 0.67 3.00 1.67
03-06UT 1.00 2.33 1.33
06-09UT 1.67 2.00 1.33
09-12UT 1.67 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 1.67 4.00 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 3.67 1.33
18-21UT 2.67 3.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
above S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 31-Aug 02 2026

Jul 31 Aug 01 Aug 02
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jul 30 2026 1700 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 31-Aug 02 2026

Jul 31 Aug 01 Aug 02
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for
M-class flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) through 02 Aug.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 03-Aug 05 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 03-Aug 05 2026

Aug 03 Aug 04 Aug 05
00-03UT 4.00 3.00 1.33
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 1.67
06-09UT 4.00 3.00 1.67
09-12UT 4.00 2.33 1.67
12-15UT 3.00 2.00 1.33
15-18UT 3.00 2.00 1.33
18-21UT 3.00 1.67 1.00
21-00UT 2.67 1.33 1.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected on 03 Aug as the
CME ongoing effects persist. No G1 or greater geomagnetic storms are
expected on 04-05 Aug, as no further transient or recurrent solar wind significant features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 03-Aug 05 2026

Aug 03 Aug 04 Aug 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 03-Aug 05 2026

Aug 03 Aug 04 Aug 05
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
on 03-05 Aug due to the flare potential of the active regions currently
located on the visible solar disk.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 25-Aug 27 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 25-Aug 27 2026

Aug 25 Aug 26 Aug 27
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 1.67 1.67 1.33
06-09UT 1.67 1.67 1.33
09-12UT 1.67 1.33 1.67
12-15UT 1.67 0.67 2.33
15-18UT 0.67 1.33 2.67
18-21UT 0.67 1.67 4.00
21-00UT 1.33 1.67 4.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 25-Aug 27 2026

Aug 25 Aug 26 Aug 27
S1 or greater 30% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to
reach S1 (Minor) levels on 25 Aug, with a slight chance for S1 levels on
26-27 Aug.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Aug 24 2026 1936 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 25-Aug 27 2026

Aug 25 Aug 26 Aug 27
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
and a slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, over 25-27 Aug.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 28-Jul 30 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 28-Jul 30 2026

Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul 30
00-03UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
03-06UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
06-09UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.00 2.00 2.00
12-15UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.00 2.00 2.33
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 2.67
21-00UT 3.00 2.33 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 28-Jul 30 2026

Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul 30
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jul 27 2026 0243 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 28-Jul 30 2026

Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul 30
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
and a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater blackouts on 28-30 Jul.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 06-Aug 08 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 06-Aug 08 2026

Aug 06 Aug 07 Aug 08
00-03UT 1.00 1.67 2.67
03-06UT 1.33 1.67 2.00
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
09-12UT 1.00 1.33 2.67
12-15UT 1.00 2.67 2.67
15-18UT 1.00 3.33 2.00
18-21UT 1.00 3.67 2.00
21-00UT 1.33 3.33 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 06-Aug 08 2026

Aug 06 Aug 07 Aug 08
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 06-Aug 08 2026

Aug 06 Aug 07 Aug 08
R1-R2 15% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: With ongoing region decay and several active regions in the
western hemisphere expected to rotate off the disk over the coming days,
there is a decreasing chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares
over 06-08 Aug. Current Solar Orbiter HMI imagery suggests no
significant returning regions during the forecast period.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 13-Aug 15 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 13-Aug 15 2026

Aug 13 Aug 14 Aug 15
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 3.67
03-06UT 1.67 3.33 3.33
06-09UT 1.33 3.00 3.00
09-12UT 1.00 2.67 3.00
12-15UT 1.33 3.00 2.33
15-18UT 1.67 3.33 2.67
18-21UT 1.67 3.33 3.00
21-00UT 3.00 4.00 3.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
Unsettled to active levels are expected on 14-15 Aug due to CH HSS
effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 13-Aug 15 2026

Aug 13 Aug 14 Aug 15
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 13-Aug 15 2026

Aug 13 Aug 14 Aug 15
R1-R2 10% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low to very low 13-15 Aug,
though there is an increasing but slight chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares, primarily driven by the development
observed in Regions 4503 and 4507.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 16 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 16-Aug 18 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 16-Aug 18 2026

Aug 16 Aug 17 Aug 18
00-03UT 1.33 2.00 2.67
03-06UT 1.33 3.00 4.00
06-09UT 1.67 2.67 3.00
09-12UT 1.33 4.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.33 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 1.33 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 1.67 2.67 1.00
21-00UT 1.67 3.00 2.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 16-Aug 18 2026

Aug 16 Aug 17 Aug 18
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 16-Aug 18 2026

Aug 16 Aug 17 Aug 18
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts on 16-18 Aug.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 19-Aug 21 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 19-Aug 21 2026

Aug 19 Aug 20 Aug 21
00-03UT 4.33 4.00 4.00
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 4.00 3.33 1.67
09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.33
12-15UT 4.00 2.33 2.33
15-18UT 3.67 2.00 2.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.33 2.67
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 3.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 19 Aug due to the influences of a CME and/or CIR.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 19-Aug 21 2026

Aug 19 Aug 20 Aug 21
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 19-Aug 21 2026

Aug 19 Aug 20 Aug 21
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events through 21 Aug.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 22-Aug 24 2026 is 3.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 22-Aug 24 2026

Aug 22 Aug 23 Aug 24
00-03UT 3.00 3.00 1.67
03-06UT 3.33 2.00 1.33
06-09UT 2.33 2.00 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 1.33
12-15UT 2.00 2.00 1.33
15-18UT 1.00 2.00 1.33
18-21UT 2.00 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 2.33 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 22-Aug 24 2026

Aug 22 Aug 23 Aug 24
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Aug 21 2026 1018 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 22-Aug 24 2026

Aug 22 Aug 23 Aug 24
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, and a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events on 22-24 Aug,
mostly due to the flare potential of Region 4513.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Aug 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 28-Aug 30 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 28-Aug 30 2026

Aug 28 Aug 29 Aug 30
00-03UT 2.33 5.67 (G2) 3.67
03-06UT 2.67 4.67 (G1) 3.33
06-09UT 4.00 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 4.00 3.00 3.00
12-15UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 3.00
15-18UT 5.00 (G1) 2.67 2.00
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 3.33
21-00UT 5.67 (G2) 3.00 3.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) storm levels are likely due to the onset of
positive polarity CH HSS effects. Later on 28 Aug, G2 (Moderate) storm
levels are likely due to additional disturbances caused by the
anticipated arrival of the CMEs that left the Sun on 25-26 Aug. G1 to G2
storm levels are likely to persist through 29 Aug before waning
conditions are expected on 30 Aug.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 28-Aug 30 2026

Aug 28 Aug 29 Aug 30
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: here is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
flux to reach S1 (Minor) storm levels through 30 Aug, mostly due to the potential for activity from Region 4513.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 28-Aug 30 2026

Aug 28 Aug 29 Aug 30
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for isolated R1/R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event
through 30 Aug primarily due to the current potential and flare history
of Region 4513.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 04 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 04-Jul 06 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 04-Jul 06 2026

Jul 04 Jul 05 Jul 06
00-03UT 5.67 (G2) 2.67 3.00
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 4.00
06-09UT 4.33 2.33 3.33
09-12UT 4.33 2.33 3.33
12-15UT 3.67 2.33 3.00
15-18UT 3.67 2.33 3.00
18-21UT 3.33 4.67 (G1) 2.00
21-00UT 2.33 5.00 (G1) 2.00

Rationale: CME arrival from the event on 30 June is likely to bring G1
(Minor) geomagnetic storm conditions, with a chance for G2 (Moderate)
levels early on 04 Jul. Further CME activity from 01-02 Jul, combined
with possible influences from +CH72, are likely to bring active to
additional G1 (Minor) storm conditions on 05 Jul, with isolated periods
of G2 (Moderate) levels possible.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 04-Jul 06 2026

Jul 04 Jul 05 Jul 06
S1 or greater 20% 20% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms through 06 Jul due to the more geoeffective locations
of the complex regions on the solar disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jul 03 2026 1811 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 04-Jul 06 2026

Jul 04 Jul 05 Jul 06
R1-R2 70% 70% 55%
R3 or greater 20% 20% 10%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, through 06 Jul.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 07 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 07-Jul 09 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 07-Jul 09 2026

Jul 07 Jul 08 Jul 09
00-03UT 1.67 1.33 3.00
03-06UT 1.33 1.33 3.67
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 2.67
09-12UT 1.67 1.67 2.67
12-15UT 1.67 1.33 2.67
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 2.00
18-21UT 1.33 1.67 2.00
21-00UT 1.33 1.67 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 07-Jul 09 2026

Jul 07 Jul 08 Jul 09
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 07-Jul 09 2026

Jul 07 Jul 08 Jul 09
R1-R2 55% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 10% 5% 5%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely on Jul 07.
There is a slight chance for R1-R2 radio blackout events on July 08-09.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 10-Jul 12 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 10-Jul 12 2026

Jul 10 Jul 11 Jul 12
00-03UT 3.67 3.67 2.33
03-06UT 2.67 2.00 2.00
06-09UT 2.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 2.67 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.67 2.67 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 2.67 2.00
18-21UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
21-00UT 2.67 3.00 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 10-Jul 12 2026

Jul 10 Jul 11 Jul 12
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jul 09 2026 0227 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 10-Jul 12 2026

Jul 10 Jul 11 Jul 12
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) and a slight
chance for R3 (Strong) radio blackouts on 10-12 Jul.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 13-Jul 15 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 13-Jul 15 2026

Jul 13 Jul 14 Jul 15
00-03UT 3.33 4.00 2.67
03-06UT 3.00 4.33 3.33
06-09UT 2.67 3.33 3.00
09-12UT 2.33 3.33 1.67
12-15UT 1.67 3.00 1.67
15-18UT 2.00 2.67 1.33
18-21UT 3.33 2.33 1.67
21-00UT 4.33 2.33 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 13-Jul 15 2026

Jul 13 Jul 14 Jul 15
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jul 12 2026 0811 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 13-Jul 15 2026

Jul 13 Jul 14 Jul 15
R1-R2 25% 20% 15%
R3 or greater 5% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 13-15 Jul.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 16 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 16-Jul 18 2026 is 3.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 16-Jul 18 2026

Jul 16 Jul 17 Jul 18
00-03UT 3.00 2.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
06-09UT 2.00 2.00 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.00 1.67 1.33
18-21UT 2.00 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 2.33 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 16-Jul 18 2026

Jul 16 Jul 17 Jul 18
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 16-Jul 18 2026

Jul 16 Jul 17 Jul 18
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
will persist through 18 Jul primarily due to returning regions on the
Eastern limb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 19-Jul 21 2026 is 2.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 19-Jul 21 2026

Jul 19 Jul 20 Jul 21
00-03UT 1.67 1.33 1.33
03-06UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
06-09UT 1.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 0.67 1.67 1.33
15-18UT 0.67 0.67 0.67
18-21UT 1.67 0.67 0.67
21-00UT 1.67 1.33 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 19-Jul 21 2026

Jul 19 Jul 20 Jul 21
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 19-Jul 21 2026

Jul 19 Jul 20 Jul 21
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There remains a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)
radio blackouts over 19-21 Jul.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 22-Jul 24 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 22-Jul 24 2026

Jul 22 Jul 23 Jul 24
00-03UT 3.67 4.00 3.67
03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 3.00
06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.67
09-12UT 4.00 2.00 2.67
12-15UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 3.00 2.67 2.00
18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.67 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 22 Jul due to
negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 22-Jul 24 2026

Jul 22 Jul 23 Jul 24
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jul 21 2026 1727 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 22-Jul 24 2026

Jul 22 Jul 23 Jul 24
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with further M-class
flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) likely on 22-24 Jul primarily due to the
flare potential of AR 4493.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 25-Jul 27 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 25-Jul 27 2026

Jul 25 Jul 26 Jul 27
00-03UT 1.67 2.00 3.00
03-06UT 1.33 1.67 3.00
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 3.00
09-12UT 1.33 1.00 3.33
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 3.00
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 3.67
18-21UT 1.67 1.33 3.67
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 3.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 25-Jul 27 2026

Jul 25 Jul 26 Jul 27
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 25-Jul 27 2026

Jul 25 Jul 26 Jul 27
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a high
chance for M-class flares (35%) on 25-27 July due to the flare potential
of Regions 4493 and 4494.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)