ACUS11 KWNS 271921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271920
TXZ000-272115-

Mesoscale Discussion 2150
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0220 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

Areas affected...portions of south-central and southeast Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 271920Z - 272115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated wind gusts appear possible from late afternoon
through this evening. The areal coverage of the threat is expected
to remain too isolated for a watch consideration.

DISCUSSION...Ahead of an MCV moving through the Red River Valley,
visible satellite shows deepening cumulus and a few thunderstorms
from the Concho Valley to Hill Country, with additional cumulus
noted along a surface trough from San Antonio to Rock Springs.
Latest objective analysis suggests some lingering convective
inhibition; however, continued daytime heating will support further
air mass destabilization with a gradual increase in thunderstorms
expected over the next 1-3 hours. Weak vertical shear will limit the
potential for storm organization; however, the presence of a
relatively deep, well-mixed boundary layer will be supportive of
isolated wind gusts with any more intense pulse storms.

..Mead/Mosier.. 08/27/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_vhBc0QZ8N4xV100HolsBvyz1jG0D5uDF6-fLhFYwCmzEVkq_Zw236K-1G3GcFiUBw_xP4HHaFaNFz0xwurQR1PC3w0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON 29380063 29550097 30240112 30450065 30719962 30899854
30969728 30929642 31029564 30739500 30319506 29759566
28969777 28799926 28779991 29380063

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)