• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2170

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Saturday, August 29, 2026 23:04:46
    ACUS11 KWNS 292304
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 292304
    UTZ000-NVZ000-300100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2170
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0604 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

    Areas affected...far eastern NV into central and northern UT

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

    Valid 292304Z - 300100Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...Large hail and severe gusts may accompany the stronger
    cells through 7-8pm MDT.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar mosaic shows a few cells, the most notable
    of which are moving east over White Pine Co. NV and Juab Co. UT.
    Ample deep-layer shear (50 kt) and moderate buoyancy (1000-1500 J/kg
    SBCAPE) are favoring storm organization into stronger updraft/cell
    development. Despite some cloud cover and minor influence from
    earlier day convection, the optimal time-of-day via peak heating and
    steepening of low-level lapse rates downstream of the ongoing storm
    activity, likely promotes a maintenance of the severe threat with
    the stronger storms for the next few hours.

    ..Smith.. 08/29/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4m2CA1GuD1NBcPwjWU9p8eKgKHWNTN5yaCpZFMNwcuQv00D4xNFIzbv7JR0d8mkmGilZCP_GSCC4hcsZPPed2F0K5Y4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SLC...LKN...

    LAT...LON 39401424 39611446 40361454 40691423 41231222 41021170
    39841121 39551133 39371169 39401424

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)