• TWO - E+C North Pacific

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 15:01:56 2026
    000
    ABPZ20 KNHC 061131
    TWOEP

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM PDT Sun Sep 6 2026

    For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Lowell, located about 600 miles south-southwest of the Hawaiian
    Islands, on Tropical Storm Karina, located several hundred miles east-northeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Hurricane Marie,
    located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the
    Baja California Peninsula.

    Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
    A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
    south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this
    system is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the
    middle or latter portions of this week while the system moves
    generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
    NNN

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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 15:01:14 2026
    000
    ABPZ20 KNHC 081150
    TWOEP

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM PDT Tue Sep 8 2026

    For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Lowell, located just north-northwest of Lihue, Kauai, and on
    Tropical Storm Marie, located several hundred miles west of Punta
    Eugenia, Mexico.

    Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
    pressure located several hundred miles southwest of southwestern
    Mexico are showing signs of organization. Gradual development of
    this system is likely, and a tropical depression is expected to
    form later this week while the system moves generally
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Well South of the Southern Tip of Baja California:
    An area of low pressure is forecast to develop several hundred miles
    south of the southern tip of Baja California this weekend or early
    next week. Some slow development is possible as this system moves
    generally west-northwestward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Evans/Kelly
    NNN

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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 9 18:50:04 2026
    476
    ACPN50 PHFO 091738
    TWOCP

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
    Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM HST Wed Sep 09 2026

    For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Lowell, located several hundred miles north-northwest of the
    Hawaiian Islands.

    Central Portion and West Portion of the East Pacific (EP96):
    Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization
    with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles
    south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
    peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to support
    continued development of this system, and a tropical depression is
    expected to form later today or tonight. as the system moves
    generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information,
    including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecast issued by
    National Weather Service.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Central Portion and West Portion of the East Pacific:
    An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
    south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula this
    weekend or early next week. Some gradual development is possible
    thereafter, and a tropical depression could form early next week
    while the system moves generally west-northwestward.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Well South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
    An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles south-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Some gradual development is
    possible late this week into this weekend as this system moves
    slowly north-northwestward.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
    KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

    $$
    Forecaster Evans/Kelly
    NNNN


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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Thu Sep 10 14:32:52 2026
    310
    ABPZ20 KNHC 101144
    TWOEP

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM PDT Thu Sep 10 2026

    For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Lowell, located well northwest of the Hawaiian Islands, and on
    Tropical Storm Norbert, located several hundred miles southwest of
    the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

    Well South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located well to the
    south-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are associated with a broad
    trough of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is
    possible late this week and into the weekend while it moves
    generally northward and then meanders to the southeast of the
    Hawaiian Islands.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    Central Portion and West Portion of the East Pacific:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
    pressure are located several hundred miles southwest of the
    southwestern Mexico coast. Gradual development of this system is
    expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next
    week while it moves generally westward over central and western
    portions of the East Pacific.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Norbert are issued under WMO
    header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Norbert are issued under WMO
    header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

    $$
    Forecaster Evans/Hagen
    NNN

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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Fri Sep 11 15:55:56 2026
    000
    ABPZ20 KNHC 111143
    TWOEP

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM PDT Fri Sep 11 2026

    For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Norbert, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
    southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

    Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 500 miles
    to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are associated with a broad
    trough of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is
    possible over the next few days while it moves generally northward
    and then meanders to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Central and Western East Pacific:
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
    pressure are located several hundred miles southwest of the
    southwestern coast of Mexico. Gradual development of this system is anticipated, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this
    weekend or early next week while it moves generally
    west-northwestward to westward over the central and western portions
    of the East Pacific.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Evans/Hagen
    NNN

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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Sat Sep 12 14:35:36 2026
    000
    ABPZ20 KNHC 121130
    TWOEP

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 AM PDT Sat Sep 12 2026

    For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Norbert, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of
    the Baja California Peninsula.

    Central and Western East Pacific (EP97):
    Earlier satellite-derived winds indicate that the surface
    circulation associated with an area of low pressure located
    several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico
    remains poorly defined. Environmental conditions still appear
    conducive for development, however, and a tropical depression is
    expected to form during the next couple of days while it moves
    generally west-northwestward to westward over the central and
    western portions of the eastern Pacific basin. For more
    information, including gale warnings, please see the High Seas
    Forecast issued by the National Weather Service.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
    A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
    southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is becoming less likely
    while it drifts generally west-northwestward.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    &&

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
    KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
    NNN

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