907
AXNT20 KNHC 051050
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Feb 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1040 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings...

A Strong Cold Front:
A strong cold front moving off the southeast U.S. coast today is
going to produce widespread fresh to near gale-force SW to NW
winds off eastern Florida and over the Bahamas. By this evening,
these winds near 30N76W will reach gale-force, along with 9 to 11
ft seas. As the cold front pushes farther eastward Fri and Fri
night, gale-force winds will spread into the central Atlantic,
north of 28N between 60W and 70W. Peak seas will also build to
between 12 and 15 ft. This area of gale-force winds and very rough
seas will shift farther eastward on Sat, and then northeastward
to north of 31N on Sat night.

A Deepening Low Pressure:
A low pressure is expected to enter the Atlantic along the North
Carolina coast on Fri night, then rapidly deepen as it track
eastward into the western Atlantic. It will produce a large area
of westerly gale-force winds north of 28N between 62W and 72W.
Seas will peak at 12 to 18 ft. These winds and seas are going to
move eastward, to north of 26N between 54W and 70W on Sun with
seas build higher to between 22 and 29 ft. Once the low has
pulled farther northeastward into the north-central Atlantic,
conditions should gradually improve starting Sun night.

Central Atlantic Significant Swell Event:
Seas at 12 to 16 ft in large NW swell, north of 27N and east of
45W will continue to slide eastward through tonight, and shift
east of 35W by early Fri morning.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
for more details on all three events above.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea,
then curves southwestward to 03N19W. The ITCZ continues west-
southwestward from 03N19W to 00N38W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring near both features from 01S to 07N
between 10W and 33W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A cold front curves southwestward from Cedar Key, Florida to just
north of Tampico, Mexico. Fresh to near gale-force N to NNE winds
and rough seas to 11 ft follow this front. Ahead of the front, a
surface trough extends along the offshore waters from Tampico to
Veracruz, generating some showers. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds
are ahead of the front across the E Bay of Campeche and the far SE basin.

For the forecast, the cold front is forecast to move southward
across the Gulf waters through early this afternoon. The front
will continue to bring fresh to near gale-force N wind and rough
seas across much of the Gulf through early this evening when
conditions are forecast to improve from west to east. High
pressure will build over the NW Gulf in the wake of the front and
will remain in control of the weather pattern across the basin
through Mon.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The tail of a stationary front extends from the northern Leeward
Islands westward to the SE offshore waters of Puerto Rico. A
surfarce trough extends from south-central Cuba to the eastern
Gulf of Honduras and is generating scattered showers and tstms,
including the Grand Cayman Islands. Otherwise, a tight pressure
gradient between the Atlantic subropical ridge and the low
pressure over NW Colombia continue to support a broad area of
fresh to locally strong trade winds over the central Caribbean
where seas are up to 9 ft.

For the forecast, the tail of the stationary front is forecast to
dissipate this morning. A cold front, currently moving across the
Gulf of Mexico, will reach the NW Caribbean early this afternoon
and will merge with a surface trough that currently extends from
south-central Cuba to the offshore waters of E Honduras. Fresh to
strong N winds and building seas will follow this front, forecast
to reach from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras tonight and
from Haiti to Panama Fri morning where it will start to weaken.
Fresh to strong N winds with rough seas in the SW Caribbean
associated with the front will persist through Sat, diminishing to
moderate to fresh speeds Sat night into Sun.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on two Gale
Warnings and Significant Swell.

A cold front extends from 31N20W to 25N35W to 22N48W where it
stalls and then continues across the far SE offshore waters,
to the northern Leeward Islands. The remainder subtropical
Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge centered by a
1024 mb high just E of Bermuda. Moderate to fresh SW winds are
ongoing over the central and NE Florida offshore waters ahead of
the new cold front. Winds of similar speed are along the
cold/stationary boundary.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will begin to
lift N today while weakening. A cold front will move off NE
Florida today. Gale-force winds and rough seas are expected on
either side of the front, across the waters N of 26N, from this
evening through Fri evening. The front will reach from near
Bermuda to Hispaniola by Fri morning, and from 30N55W to Puerto
Rico Fri night into early Sat. Following this front, a strong low
pressure building N of the forecast region could bring a second
round of gale-force winds and very rough to high seas across the N
waters N of 25N Sat through Sun.

$$
Ramos
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

815
AXNT20 KNHC 071052
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Feb 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell: A
cold front that extends from 31N51W to the Mona Passage is
inducing gale conditions on both sides of the front along and
north of 30N. Scattered moderate convection is also present in
this area. These gales will diminish this morning as the front
weakens. Another cold front moving off the SE U.S. coast early
this morning will move into area waters today, inducing a broad
area of gales N of 27N between 77W and 50W as the front tracks
eastward through Mon. Winds close to 30N Sat night into Sun night
may be near storm-force to the S of Bermuda. Very rough seas
generated by these gales combined with swell from storm-force low
pressures to the north will propagate southward to impact most
waters N of 18N into the middle of next week, with peak seas of 30
to 35 ft possible Sun through Sun night closer to 30N to the SE of Bermuda.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
for more details on these events.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and extends
southwestward to 05N17W. An ITCZ continues west-southwestward to
00N32W. Scattered moderate convection is seen within 30 nm of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1024 mb high centered near 24N91W continues to dominate the
entire Gulf. Moderate to fresh NW to winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft
are seen across the north-central and eastern Gulf, including the
Florida Straits. Gentle winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for the
rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, fresh NW winds in the NE Gulf will diminish as
high pressure settles over the waters. This high will dominate the
weather through the middle of next week, bringing quiescent
conditions to the basin.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weakening cold front extends from the Mona Passage to offshore
Panama. Convection associated with this front has dissipated early
this morning. Strong N winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft are present
behind the front in the SW basin. In the NW basin, moderate to
fresh N winds and moderate seas prevail. Elsewhere, the tradewind
regime has been disrupted by the cold front, leaving light to
gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft remaining.

For the forecast, the cold front will gradually dissipate into
tonight. Strong N winds and rough seas will prevail in the SW
basin behind the front through dissipation. In the wake of the
front, fresh to strong trades will develop offshore Colombia and
Hispaniola Sun night, then increase and expand through the central
basin into the middle of next week as high pressure builds N of
the area. Rough seas will develop in this area of strong winds.
Additionally, large N to NW swell will impact the Mona Passage,
Anegada Passage, and tropical N Atlantic waters beginning on Mon.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale
Warning and on areas of significant swell.

Outside of the gale warning areas, strong SW winds are ahead of
the central Atlantic cold front, N of 25N and W of 40W. Rough seas
are present in this area. Strong W winds are also present N of 25W
behind the cold front, with rough to very rough seas. Moderate to
fresh trades dominate waters S of 22N and E of 50W, with gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere. Rough seas are impacting waters N of 15N
and E of 40W, and S of 10N between 35W and 50W. Elsewhere,
moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast W of 55W, gale-force winds along and N of 30N on
both sides of a cold front that extends from 31N51W to just NW of
Puerto Rico are diminishing early this morning. New gales are
developing on either side of a reinforcing front that is entering
the NW waters this morning, and widespread gale-force to near
storm-force winds will impact waters N of 27N E of 77W this
weekend as the combined front reaches 31N47W to the Leeward
Islands Sun. The front will continue moving east through the SE
waters early next week, with gales gradually subsiding in NE
waters late Mon. Very rough seas generated by the gales, and
storm-force winds to the north of the waters, will propagate SE
and impact much of the waters into early next week, with peak seas
of 30 to 35 ft possible SE of Bermuda Sun. The very rough seas
are likely to finally depart the region to the east Wed.

$$
Konarik
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

718
AXNT20 KNHC 081001
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Feb 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell: A
cold front extends from 31N56W to the SE Bahamas and into western
Cuba. Gale-force W winds of up to 45 kt follow this cold front N
of 27N to 71W. Seas within the area of gales have built to 20 to
30 ft. Very rough seas in excess of 12 ft extend well S of the
gale area due to expansive, significant NW swell, within an area
of strong mainly W winds, N of 23N between 40W and 77W. Widespread
gale-force to near storm- force winds will impact waters W of the
front, north of 27N and east of 70W into Mon, when the front will
reach a 31N48W to Leeward Islands line. Gale-force winds behind
the front will diminish to fresh to strong speeds by early Tue
morning. Very rough seas generated by these winds will propagate
SE and impact much of the waters into mid-week, with peak seas of
33 ft possible from 30N to Bermuda this afternoon. The very rough
seas are likely to finally diminish below 12 ft Wed.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
for more details on these events.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
W Africa near 07N12W and extends southwestward to near 04N18W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ that continues to 00N30W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 00N to 03N between 25W and 30W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A stationary front extends from the Yucatan Channel to the upper
Texas coast. High pressure dominates on both sides of the
boundary, with a 1024 mb high centered near 23N94W. NE of the
front, Moderate NE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail, with light to
gentle winds and slight seas to the SW.

For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin, bringing
quiescent weather into late week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A cold front is noted from from western Cuba across the Yucatan
Channel. A stationary front extends from Puerto Rico to the
central basin near 15N72W. Mainly NE winds are present through the
basin, with moderate seas.

For the forecast, the cold front will overtake the stationary
front later today, then slide east of the Leeward Islands Mon. Winds
will increase in the wake of the front, becoming strong initially
offshore Colombia and Hispaniola tonight, then expanding to much
of the central basin Mon through Wed, as high pressure in the
western Atlantic builds southward toward the area. Rough seas will
accompany these strong winds. In addition, large NW to N swell
will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and tropical N
Atlantic waters tonight into Wed.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale
Warning and significant swell in the western and central Atlantic.

Aside from the gale and significant swell, a reinforcing cold
front extends from 31N60W to the NW Bahamas. Ahead of the main
cold front, responsible for the gales, a weakening stationary
front extends from 31N48W to Puerto Rico. In the far east
Atlantic, a 1026 mb high pressure is centered just W of the Canary
Islands, and dominates the basin outside of the aforementioned
frontal boundaries. This is leading to fresh NE to E trades and
moderate to rough seas S of 20N and E of 50W, with moderate or
lesser winds and seas elsewhere SE of a 31N30W to Puerto Rico line.

For the forecast W of 55W, gales will spread east as cold front
moves E across the waters, impacting areas N of 27N through Mon.
This front will merge with a stationary front that is over the SE
waters tonight, then move E of the area by Mon night, allowing
winds to gradually diminish. Very rough seas will impact most of
the waters E of 77W through Tue, with peak seas along 30N, SE of
Bermuda, exceeding 30 ft through tonight.

$$
Konarik
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)

382
AXNT20 KNHC 101010
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Feb 10 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Atlantic Gale Warning and Significant Swell: A 994 mb low
pressure is centered well NE of Bermuda near 38N51W. The gradient
between this low and a 1026 mb high pressure moving E just N of
the NW Bahamas is supporting gale-force WNW winds N of 30N
between 47W and 56W. Fresh to strong W winds extend southward to
28N from 32W and 65W. Gales will end this morning, and the fresh
to strong winds will diminish into tonight, as the low pressure to
the north weakens and moves farther from the area. An extensive
area of very rough seas in NW to N well remains over the waters N
of 18N between 28W and 68W, with peak seas around 24 ft near
30N50W. These seas will only slowly decay from W to E, finally
falling below 12 ft for most areas by Wed night. Mariners are
urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts.

South-Central Caribbean Gale Warning: High pressure building
southeastward across the western Atlantic and northern Caribbean
will tighten the pressure gradient across the basin. This will
result in strong NE winds over the central and SW Caribbean, with
winds pulsing to gale-force offshore Colombia tonight and again
Wed night. Seas will build to 11 ft in association with these
gales.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php
for more details on these events.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Liberia near 06N10W to 02N29W. The ITCZ continues from 02N30W to
00N42W. Scattered moderate convection extends from 00N to 06N
between 08W and 33W and from 00N to 04N between 37W and 42W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge extends across the Gulf, anchored by a 1026 mb
high pressure centered over Georgia. This pattern is maintaining
mainly gentle SE winds, except for some moderate to locally fresh
S winds off NE Mexico and southern Texas. Seas are 1 to 2 ft in
the NE Gulf, 2 to 4 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate Gulf
waters through late week, bringing a gentle to moderate mainly
southerly flow. Locally fresh winds are expected today and tonight
just west of the Yucatan Peninsula and over the far western
waters. Slight to moderate seas will prevail. Looking ahead,
southerly winds may increase this weekend ahead of an approaching cold front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
Warning in effect for waters offshore Colombia.

High pressure N of the area is building southeastward toward the
Caribbean, which is increasing NE winds over much of the basin to
fresh to strong speeds. Seas are mainly 5 to 7 ft, although rough
seas are occurring in the SW basin offshore Colombia, S of
Hispaniola, and through Atlantic passages from the Mona Passage eastward.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
over the western Atlantic and the Colombian/Panamanian low will
support fresh to strong winds across most of the central
Caribbean, including the Windward Passage, and the waters between
Cuba and Jamaica into Wed night. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and again Wed night offshore Colombia. Meanwhile, large NW
to N swell will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and
tropical N Atlantic waters into Wed creating hazardous marine conditions.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a gale
warning and significant swell in the central Atlantic.

Hazardous marine conditions dominate much of the central
subtropical basin, as described in the Special Features section,
in association with a large and deep low pressure system moving
northeastward across the northwest Atlantic. A stationary front
extends from 31N39W to the northern Leeward Islands, separating a
pair of 1025 mb high pressure centers, one just N of the NW
Bahamas and the other over the Canary Islands. Winds are moderate
or less, with moderate seas outside of the Special Features area,
except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades that exist south of
a line from the Canary Islands to the Windward Islands.

For the forecast west of 55W, near gale-force winds in the far NE
waters will gradually diminish into tonight as high pressure
moves eastward across the waters. On the west side of the high,
southwesterly winds will increase over the NW waters starting
tonight, then reach strong speeds Wed, with seas building to rough
N of 28N. These winds will prevail over northern waters through
Wed night, before shifting to strong NW as a cold front crosses
the waters into Thu. Very rough seas in NW to N swell E of 67W
will gradually decay below 12 ft from W to E today and tonight,
with improved seas by Wed. Peak seas this morning SE of Bermuda
along 31N will be as high as 18 ft.

$$
Konarik
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (21:1/175)